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A Project of The Annenberg Public Policy Center

Trump Expands on Dubious Daily Tariff Revenue Claim

Trump Expands on Dubious Daily Tariff Revenue Claim

President Donald Trump has added to his unsupported claim that the U.S. is making “$2 billion a day” from tariffs by saying that the country was losing $2 billion or $3 billion “a day” under President Joe Biden. Economists told us that Trump appears to be wrongly comparing a very high – and unlikely – estimate of potential daily revenue from his tariffs with a figure reflecting the average daily U.S. trade deficit during Biden’s last year in office.

Trump Uses Questionable Figure for U.S. ‘Plants and Factories’ Lost Since NAFTA

Trump Uses Questionable Figure for U.S. ‘Plants and Factories’ Lost Since NAFTA

When President Donald Trump has talked about the need for higher tariffs on imports of foreign goods because of a decline in American manufacturing, he has often made the claim that “90,000 plants and factories” in the U.S. closed after the North American Free Trade Agreement took effect in 1994. But that figure is questionable, and experts say other factors, such as automation, had more to do with the large decline in U.S. manufacturing jobs than trade.

Independent Analyses Contradict Navarro’s $6 Trillion-Plus Tariff Revenue Estimate

Independent Analyses Contradict Navarro’s $6 Trillion-Plus Tariff Revenue Estimate

Before President Donald Trump paused some new tariffs that he unveiled on April 2, several economic groups estimated that tariffs he has announced this year could raise between roughly $2 trillion and more than $4 trillion in federal revenue over a 10-year period. But that’s well short of the $6 trillion or $7 trillion that White House trade adviser Peter Navarro claimed the tariffs would raise to help pay for tax cuts, including an extension of the 2017 tax law.

Trump’s Misleading Tariff Chart

Trump’s Misleading Tariff Chart

In his Rose Garden announcement of sweeping new “reciprocal tariffs,” President Donald Trump held aloft a misleading chart that claimed to give a breakdown of the tariffs other countries charge the U.S. and the corresponding tariff that the U.S. will now impose against those countries.

Trump’s Misleading Claim on Canadian Dairy Tariffs

Trump’s Misleading Claim on Canadian Dairy Tariffs

To support his plan to increase tariffs, President Donald Trump has repeatedly said that the Canadian government charges U.S. farmers a 250% or 270% tariff on dairy products exported to Canada. That’s misleading. There are rates that high on the books, but they would only be charged if U.S. exports exceed predetermined tariff rate quotas, which the dairy exports don’t come close to meeting. 

Trump’s Flawed Claim that Tariffs Made the U.S. Its ‘Richest’

Trump’s Flawed Claim that Tariffs Made the U.S. Its ‘Richest’

In arguing for more tariffs on goods imported to the United States, President Donald Trump has repeatedly claimed that the U.S. was its “richest” or “wealthiest” during the late 1800s and early 1900s because of tariffs. In multiple ways, his claim is wrong or misleading.

Trump on U.S. Imports of Oil and Lumber

Trump on U.S. Imports of Oil and Lumber

Days before he ordered, and then paused, new tariffs on U.S. imports from Canada and Mexico, President Donald Trump argued that the U.S. does not need imported products such as crude oil and lumber from those countries. Experts told us it’s not that simple.

FactChecking Trump’s Inaugural Address

FactChecking Trump’s Inaugural Address

In a half-hour inaugural address, newly sworn-in President Donald Trump twisted some facts while painting the last few years under his predecessor, Joe Biden, as a time of “decline” and promising “the golden age of America begins right now.”

Trump’s Agenda: Taxes

Trump’s Agenda: Taxes

In addition to extending the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, one of his signature achievements in his first term, President-elect Donald Trump has proposed a long list of tax cuts, from eliminating taxes on Social Security benefits to lowering the corporate tax rate. We’ll look at Trump’s tax proposals, their cost and what impact they could have on taxpayers.

FactChecking Trump’s ‘Meet the Press’ Interview

FactChecking Trump’s ‘Meet the Press’ Interview

In his first post-election, sit-down broadcast interview, President-elect Donald Trump outlined his priorities for a second term. But in the interview, Trump continued to repeat inaccurate information related to immigration, crime, trade, health care and the election.