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A Project of The Annenberg Public Policy Center

No Evidence for Trump’s Claims of ‘Rigged’ or ‘Phony’ Job Numbers

No Evidence for Trump’s Claims of ‘Rigged’ or ‘Phony’ Job Numbers

Hours after the Bureau of Labor Statistics released employment data showing slow job growth for July and prior months, President Donald Trump fired the BLS commissioner, claiming the job numbers were “phony” and that the commissioner had “faked” other job figures to help Democrats. There’s no evidence the commissioner, or others at BLS, manipulated the data, and Trump hasn’t provided any.

Trump Offers No Evidence for Claim About Bill Clinton and Epstein Island

Trump Offers No Evidence for Claim About Bill Clinton and Epstein Island

Former President Bill Clinton flew multiple times on airplanes belonging to the late Jeffrey Epstein. But there is no evidence that Clinton visited the convicted sex offender’s private island in the U.S. Virgin Islands “28 times,” as President Donald Trump has claimed.

Are Prices Up or Down? Parsing Misleading Claims by Trump and Democrats

Are Prices Up or Down? Parsing Misleading Claims by Trump and Democrats

About six months into the second term of President Donald Trump, Republicans and Democrats are making conflicting and often misleading assessments of the Trump administration’s impact on inflation and prices. Both sides cherry-pick examples of consumer products to support their claims, while sometimes wrongly taking credit for lower prices or falsely casting blame for rising costs.

Trump’s Misleading Justification for Higher Tariffs on Imports of EU Goods

Trump’s Misleading Justification for Higher Tariffs on Imports of EU Goods

The United States and the European Union have reached a preliminary trade deal to avoid a 30% U.S. tariff on imported goods from the EU that President Donald Trump threatened would go into effect on Aug. 1. Trump had argued that higher tariffs were needed because EU tariffs and nontariff policies “cause the large and unsustainable trade deficits” between the U.S. and the EU, but economists disputed that statement.

Gabbard’s Misleading ‘Coup’ Claim

Gabbard’s Misleading ‘Coup’ Claim

Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard claims to have uncovered “overwhelming evidence” that former President Barack Obama and others in his administration manipulated intelligence to “lay the groundwork for what was essentially a years-long coup against President Trump.” But the foundation for her case is misleading.

Trump’s Hollow Surplus Claim

Trump’s Hollow Surplus Claim

In recent speeches and media scrums, President Donald Trump has lauded the federal budget surplus for the month of June, claiming the surplus had not happened in “many, many years” or “decades.” To be clear, the U.S. had not recorded a surplus in June since 2016 – but the country has had several surpluses in other months since that time.

Big Beautiful Bill Projected to Lead to Preventable Deaths

Big Beautiful Bill Projected to Lead to Preventable Deaths

Contrary to President Donald Trump’s claim that no one will die as a result of the Republican budget bill, an analysis from the University of Pennsylvania and Yale University estimated that the legislation’s changes to Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act will result in at least 42,500 preventable deaths each year. At the same time, independent Sen. Bernie Sanders has slightly overstated the estimate.

MAGA Ad Distorts How Massie Diverges from Trump

MAGA Ad Distorts How Massie Diverges from Trump

An attack ad by a super PAC called MAGA Kentucky targets Republican Rep. Thomas Massie — a longtime conservative foil of President Donald Trump — with claims that distort the congressman’s votes on some of Trump’s policy goals.

Border Czar Makes Misleading Claim About Immigrants With Criminal Records

Border Czar Makes Misleading Claim About Immigrants With Criminal Records

Border Czar Tom Homan has been repeating the misleading claim that there are “over 600,000 illegal aliens with criminal records walking the streets of this nation.” That number includes legal immigrants, not just those who entered the country illegally; about a third of them have only been charged, not convicted; and it’s unclear how many of them have been, or currently are, incarcerated.

Staffing Cuts at NWS and the Tragic Flooding in Texas

Staffing Cuts at NWS and the Tragic Flooding in Texas

Q: Is it true that if President Donald Trump hadn’t defunded the National Weather Service, the death toll in the Texas flooding would have been far lower or nonexistent?

A: The Trump administration did not defund the NWS but did reduce the staff by 600 people. Those staffing cuts did not cause the high number of deaths in the flash floods on July 4, experts said. Local forecasting offices were sufficiently staffed and issued timely warnings.