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A Project of The Annenberg Public Policy Center

False Claim About Biden’s Win Probability

False Claim About Biden’s Win Probability

Facebook posts have repeated a false claim about a “one in a quadrillion” chance that President-elect Joe Biden received more votes than President Donald Trump in Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Experts told us the claim misuses a questionable statistical analysis that made implausible assumptions about the 2020 election.